Samson Mow Predicts “Sudden” Wave of Nation-State Bitcoin Adoption

Bitcoin adoption by nation-states is about to accelerate, says Jan3 founder Samson Mow. After years of gradual movement, Mow believes countries are now entering the “suddenly” phase—where Bitcoin reserves could quickly become a global trend.

• The U.S. is preparing for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve but hasn’t started buying yet.
• Mow warns the U.S. could be “front-run by Pakistan” if it delays.
• Latin America is expected to lead the next wave of Bitcoin adoption.
• Mow believes Bitcoin’s bull run may be delayed until 2026, despite strong fundamentals.
• Fidelity Digital Assets predicts more governments and central banks will soon buy Bitcoin.

Samson Mow, founder of Bitcoin infrastructure firm Jan3, believes global Bitcoin adoption by nation-states is moving into a new phase. In an interview on the What Bitcoin Did podcast, Mow said the world is now “at the tail end of gradually, and at the beginning phases of suddenly,” implying that a rapid wave of national Bitcoin purchases could happen soon.

Mow explained that adoption often seems slow until a tipping point is reached — then progress happens “literally, gradually then suddenly.” He expects this inflection point to arrive soon, predicting a “massive run-up” and even nation-state FOMO, where countries rush to accumulate Bitcoin as part of their reserves.

He noted that U.S. President Donald Trump’s executive order to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve has set the stage for adoption, even though the U.S. hasn’t yet begun buying. Mow said the U.S. is “pushing forward” through initiatives like the Bitcoin Act and budget-neutral acquisition strategies.

Supporting his outlook, Galaxy Digital’s Alex Thorn recently said there’s a strong chance the U.S. will officially form its Strategic Bitcoin Reserve before the end of the year. Currently, according to Bitbo data, the U.S. government already holds 198,012 BTC, making it the largest national Bitcoin holder.

Mow warned, however, that if the U.S. hesitates, other nations like Pakistan could move first. He also expressed optimism about Latin America, calling it one of the regions best positioned to drive the next wave of Bitcoin adoption.

This view aligns with Fidelity Digital Assets’ January report, which predicted that more central banks, sovereign wealth funds, and government treasuries would soon establish strategic Bitcoin positions.

Despite optimism about adoption, Mow acknowledged that Bitcoin’s price hasn’t yet surged as many expected for 2025. “We should have had a bull run already,” he said, suggesting the next big cycle could extend into 2026. Other analysts, including Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan, share this view, with Hougan predicting that 2026 will be a strong year for Bitcoin’s price performance.

As of now, Bitcoin trades around $109,400, down nearly 2% in the past month. Still, Mow maintains his long-term prediction that Bitcoin could reach $1 million, calling it “a given — maybe this year, maybe next year.”

Final Thought

Samson Mow’s forecast signals a potential turning point for global Bitcoin adoption. As governments move from caution to accumulation, the “sudden” phase could redefine Bitcoin’s role as a strategic financial asset. Whether the next surge happens in 2025 or 2026, momentum among nations is clearly building — and once it starts, it may unfold faster than anyone expects.